AREAS OF INFLUENCE

1Financial Services

1

Hurricane in the USA
2

Increase in insured damage to infrastructure
3

Increased capital requirement to cover risks
Negatively affects profits of Swiss insurance and reinsurance companies

2Food Supply

1

Gradual climate change In Central America
2

Reduction in favourable regions for coffee-growing
3

Quality losses or falling yields for coffee
4

Higher import prices for coffee products and traders in Switzerland
Sales losses suffered by coffee producers and traders (coffee accounts for 26% of the foods and beverages) exported by Switzerland)

3Energy Supply

1

Simultaneous occurrence of extreme events or large-scale weather phenomena in Europe
2

Risk of partial blackout in the European power network
3

Risk of power shortage or blackout in Switzerland
Reduction of economic performance capability in Switzerland

4Security

1

Gradual climate change in the Horn of Africa/North Africa (less water and fertile soil)
2

Livelihoods threatened, falling income, high food prices
3

Social unrest, increased risk of conflicts
Diplomatic support, development cooperation by Switzerland needed in fragile states

5Development Cooperation

1

Climate related extreme events in Bangladesh (floods, salination of soil)
2

Threat to livelihoods of already vulnerable groups
Rising need for humanitarian aid and development cooperation with focus on climate

6aEconomic Output (a)

1

Floods in Thailand
2

Breakdowns in production and consequently in deliveries for PC hard drives
3

Price of hard drives doubles
Lost sales in electronics industry

6bEconomic Output (b)

1

Increase in heavy rainfall in Southeast Asia
2

Increased need for (industrial) wastewater treatment
Export opportunities for Swiss companies in the area of water technology/ treatment

7Migration

1

Gradual climate change in southern Europe (drought)
2

Agriculture adversely affected
3

Deteriorating living conditions for people working in agriculture
4

Decision on permanent migration to Central/ Northern Europe
More labour migrations, effects on Swiss employment market